Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.012913 0.015894 0.019736 0.025199 0.033032 0.044320 0.062803
2024-10-06 0.009405 0.012646 0.017426 0.025467 0.039820 0.067404 0.135741
2024-10-13 0.007290 0.010276 0.015022 0.023848 0.042026 0.085294 0.241827
2024-10-20 0.006155 0.009001 0.013800 0.023500 0.046203 0.113058 0.499292
2024-10-27 0.005605 0.008501 0.013688 0.025146 0.056170 0.176375 1.780849
2024-11-03 0.005218 0.008179 0.013785 0.027270 0.069735 0.298865 21.611612
2024-11-10 0.004908 0.007922 0.013922 0.029573 0.087120 0.554503 NaN
2024-11-17 0.004473 0.007350 0.013262 0.029510 0.095981 0.854738 NaN
2024-11-24 0.004080 0.006799 0.012525 0.028939 0.102449 1.283038 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003631 0.006081 0.011285 0.026425 0.096520 1.393023 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003300 0.005563 0.010426 0.024869 0.094904 1.700940 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003087 0.005259 0.010021 0.024655 0.101536 2.822620 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002972 0.005171 0.010177 0.026664 0.129518 15.031656 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002783 0.004906 0.009857 0.026914 0.146970 145.702336 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002539 0.004495 0.009092 0.025165 0.143051 722.938829 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002377 0.004245 0.008706 0.024790 0.153723 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 0.002307 0.004189 0.008820 0.026565 0.198029 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 0.002254 0.004162 0.009014 0.028861 0.268889 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002205 0.004137 0.009207 0.031358 0.376414 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002096 0.003963 0.008929 0.031289 0.427169 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001986 0.003774 0.008577 0.030670 0.461140 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001841 0.003489 0.007895 0.027947 0.400224 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001728 0.003275 0.007414 0.026266 0.377534 NaN NaN